Andy Hines & Peter C. Bishop: Assumptions About Constants Can And Should Be Challenged (34/100)

Hines & Bishop (2013). Framework foresight: Exploring futures the Houston way

”Constants are those things that are changing so slowly or not at all that they can be considered static for the purpose of the forecast. That is not to say that constants cannot possibly change in some plausible set of events, but the probability is that they will remain the same, at least until the time horizon. Those assumptions can and should be challenged, however, when considering the alternative futures because presumed constants that start to change are excellent sources of alternative futures.”

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